The Blame game seems to be the primary strategy of the government. Boris Johnson and members of his cabinet have blamed parliament for enacting the Benn Bill, which legally forces Boris Johnson to write a letter to the European Union and ask for an extension until January if no deal can be made. Boris Johnson and his government have also blamed the judiciary, specifically the Supreme Court who ruled that his decision to suspend parliament was unlawful this September. This came after the first Supreme Court ruling in 2017 that ruled in favour of giving MP’s a say over triggering Article 50 - the legal mechanism taking the UK out of the EU. Both of these cases led by business woman and campaigner Gina Miller. So who else is the UK government blaming? Well there’s then those people who run the EU. Donald Tusk unleashed a tweet this morning that read as follows:
"@Boris Johnson, what's at stake is not winning some stupid blame game. At stake is the future of Europe and the UK as well as the security and interests of our people. You don't want a deal, you don't want an extension, you don't want to revoke, quo vadis?
So as Boris Johnson’s blame game continues, what are the consequences going to be? What will happen? It is now relatively clear that a Deal is off the table. So does that mean the UK will be leaving on the 31st? Unless Boris Johnson and his special advisor have a rabbit they are about to pull out of an imaginary hat this seems as Angela Merkel stated this morning’ “very unlikely.” Even if they were to get a deal that would have to be agreed by the EU and then passed through parliament, where the government does not have a majority. Again an incredibly unlikely situation. So why have the government been so adamant that the UK will be leaving on the 31st of October? Well this solid message to the public conveys their will to push a BREXIT through, no matter what, and if it doesn’t happen. Guess what? The blame game really begins. Michael Gove Chancellor of Duchy said today in the House of Commons: “We have moved. It is now time for the EU to move too.” Piling more pressure on the EU to compromise on a deal they clearly don’t want to. So is it the EU who need to compromise? Or is this more of the same blame game?
There’s an old phrase that many successful political and military campaigns know all too well: ‘Divide and conquer’. The UK is certainly getting more divided by the day. So if the UK does get an extension, the government will be in a prime position to blame everyone else for stopping the UK from leaving, and they’ll be many residents across the UK who will resonate with that deeply. This arguably puts the Boris Johnson government in a perfect position to run an election campaign, and this has potentially been Dominic Cummings strategy all along. Especially as Cummings is a master at campaigns. Just look how divided the opposition parties are. They are staring down the barrel of No-Deal Brexit and still can’t agree on who could potentially lead them in a temporary government. So with just over three weeks before the UK is meant to finally leave the EU? Do we now know have a hint of what will happen? You be the judge. We’ve seen some truly incredible and bizarre moves in politics over the last 3 years so I wouldn’t bet my house on anything. But a No-Deal looks like an impossibility to me.